Wimbledon – Day 4

Mikhail Kukushkin vs John Isner
Over 38.5 Games

Mikhail Kukushkin

Kazakhstan’s finest since Borat, Kukushkin enters Wimbledon 2019 with a top 60 ranking. He has gone 10-15 in singles matches this season and just 1-3 on grass entering this tournament. His first round win over Pablo Andujar was very impressive, dropping just 9 games in the process.

John Isner

While not the same force he once was, Isner still sports a very impressive ranking of #12. The 34-year-old has had a very stellar campaign so far, going 16-7 in ATP Singles matches. He started the tournament strongly against Casper Ruud, winning in straight sets.

Prediction: Over 38.5 Games

These are two strong grass court players that both enter the match in relatively good form. I think breaks of serve will be hard to come by here and that we should be in for at least 1 tie-break. If we get 4 or more sets, I think this over is very likely to hit.

Nick Kyrgios vs Rafael Nadal
Kyrgios +4.5 Games

Nick Kyrgios

Kyrgios advances to the second round after beating compatriot Jordan Thompson in a 5-set epic first up. He was far from at his best, but did win 88% of points on his first serve. Kyrgios first burst onto the scene 5 years ago with a Wimbledon win over Nadal and will be looking to repeat that fate here.

Rafael Nadal

Even though he is the #3 seed for this tournament, the 33-year-old Nadal still sports the #2 ranking. He is enjoying another stellar campaign, winning Roland Garros and going 33-5 in singles matches. He was very clinical in round 1, comfortably beating Sugita in 3 sets.

Prediction: Kyrgios +4.5 Games

I expect there to be a fair amount of animosity between these men who don’t particularly like each other. Kyrgios is on his preferred surface here, while Nadal just isn’t the same player on grass. A motivated Kyrgios should be near untouchable on serve and has an outside shot at a $3.70 win, but I’ll take the +4.5 games for more security.

Steve Johnson vs Alex De Minaur
Johnson $2.25

Steve Johnson

The veteran American has struggled in 2019, going just 8-15 in singles matches before Wimbledon. That said, he has historically been an excellent grass court player and will fancy his chances here. He started his campaign very impressively, disposing of Ramos Vinolas in 3 relatively easy sets.

Alex De Minaur

The young Aussie is enjoying a breakout campaign going 14-10 in ATP singles matches and winning a title. His strong play this season has earned him the #25 seed, comfortably the best Aussie male currently on tour. He had a very nice round 1 win, bagelling Cecchinato in the first as he won in straight sets.

Prediction: Johnson $2.25

After a relatively poor campaign, I feel Johnson’s value is at a nadir in the betting market. I think he’s a better player than De Minaur on grass and should be the narrow favourite in this one. In a buy-low situation, I’ll take Johnson straight up to crash the Aussie party.