Wimbledon – Day 3

Pablo Cuevas vs Jiri Vesely
Over 37.5 Games

Pablo Cuevas

The Uruguayan veteran enters Wimbledon with a respectable Singles ranking of #45. Most of his damage has been done on the clay courts and he has historically struggled on the faster grass surface. He does sport a solid 18-13 record in 2019, although the conditions just don’t suit him here.

Jiri Vesely

After showing some brief flashes, Vesely has fallen all the way to #124 in the world rankings. He has only won 4 singles matches in 2019, largely struggling on the clay courts. His power and serve based game should thrive at Wimbledon and he is relatively heavily favoured here.

Prediction: Over 37.5 Games

While Vesely probably deserves to be favourite, I just can’t see him getting it done in straight sets. Cuevas is a consistent and reliable competitor that will make his opponent beat him here. In a 4-set ATP match on grass, you have to like the over at this relatively low number.

Stan Wawrinka vs Reilly Opelka
Opelka +4.5 Games

Stan Wawrinka

Wawrinka has had a respectable 2019 that saw him earn a ranking of #19 and the #22 seed for this tournament. He had a relatively impressive Roland Garros last month, beating both Dimitrov and Tsitsipas en route to the quarters. He has only played 2 grass court matches this season, going 1-1 overall.

Reilly Opelka

At just 21 years of age, the big-serving American already has secured a ranking of #63. Thought of as the next Jon Isner, his 6’11” frame gives him a huge edge on these Wimbledon courts. 2019 has been a breakout year so far, registering 12 ATP singles wins and his first ATP title.

Prediction: Opelka +4.5 Games

Opelka’s game is ideally suited to these conditions, while Wawrinka is a notoriously slow starter in grand slams. He knows he has the talent to beat Stan here and his serve can help bail him out of trouble. I think he takes a set even if he comes up short, making +4.5 games look like very solid value.

Karen Khachanov vs Feliciano Lopez
Khachanov $1.78

Karen Khachanov

The big Russian has had a very solid but underrated campaign, moving up to #9 in the world. He looked solid in his opening round encounter, managing a relatively comfortable 4-set win. He did well making the Quarters at Roland Garros and I think his game lends itself even more to a grass court.

Feliciano Lopez

Even at 37 years of age, ‘Deliciano’ is still going strong on the ATP Tour. He sports a solid ranking of #54 and already has an ATP title this season. Known primarily for his serve and power, Wimbledon is his best surface, as he showed with a simple round 1 win.

Prediction: Khachanov $1.78

While Lopez is a tough opponent, I think such a high price undervalues Khachanov here. He has been a consistently solid fixture on the tour of late and his game really suits a grass surface. I just can’t see Lopez troubling his serve here, as he likely takes it out in 4 sets.