We really do need to start calling this game for what it is, the Crusaders Invitational Event.
It’s their 14th appearance in the final and are going for their tenth title and second threepeat having completed a hat-trick of titles from 1998-2000.
That’s why they go into this game as strong favourites considering the Jaguares are in just their fourth season of existence and only their second finals appearance.
Read on as we break down the last Super Rugby game for 2019 and find one more betting play.
At the start of the week (and for most of the season), the best way to operate has been assuming the Crusaders will make and host the final and trying to find a good reason a team may beat them.
It’s a huge ask considering they have never lost a final in Christchurch and they last lost a game at home in 2016, so they certainly know how to defend their turf.
Now to make a case for why the Jaguares might just be able to pull off one of the most memorable Super Rugby victories ever.
Their form is as good as you can hope, winning seven straight on their way to the final including dominating the Brumbies last weekend.
But there is the big question of travel, they last played outside of Argentina a month ago but a flight from Buenos Aires to Christchurch is still a massive drain on anyone, let alone a bunch of big burly rugby players.
It’s not as though the Crusaders haven’t been tested themselves lately, they had to battle to get by the Hurricanes last week and you can argue that they would have been a tougher test.
I just can’t quite bring myself to back the Crusaders at the line though, the Jaguares bring a real unknown element to this game considering they have undergone a significant evolution since losing 40-14 to the Crusaders in April 2018.
At the end of the day, it’s just too hard to back an upset but the Jaguares should give the Crusaders everything they can handle so I’ll back a close win.