Fritz has steadily climbed the rankings in recent years, finding himself in the solid spot of #42. He does have a below .500 singles record this year, falling in the second round of Roland Garros. Known primarily for an excellent serve, the grass at Wimbledon should play to his strengths.
Now 33 years of age, the Berd man has fallen to a ranking of #112. He has impressed in limited action in 2019, registering a solid 12-6 singles record. Another man renowned for his elite serve and power, he shouldn’t struggle to hold on the fast Wimbledon courts.
Prediction: Over 41.5 Games
With two relatively evenly matched players, I’m expecting a match that goes at least 4 sets in this one. I can’t see many breaks of serve and expect at least a tie-break or two. The number for this one is a little bit too low and I ultimately see some value on the over.
Thiem has emerged as the best player outside the big 3, comfortably holding the #4 ranking. He is 23-9 in 2019, registering 2 ATP titles and a Grand Slam Final appearance. Known more as a clay-court specialist, Wimbledon has historically been his weakest surface.
Even after 13 years on tour, the big-serving American is still going strong. He sports a top 80 ranking and an above .500 singles record in 2019. His serve and power game is ideally suited to the grass of Wimbledon.
Prediction: Thiem $1.67
While this is a tricky matchup for Thiem, I believe he’s playing the best tennis of his career. His improved serve should help him significantly here and I’d expect to see a victory within 4 sets.
The mercurial Aussie is somehow still in the top 50, managing an above .500 record in 2019. He still remains one of the most dangerous threats on tour and possesses a game ideally suited to the Wimbledon surface. You have to question his headspace, after some curious recent withdrawals and disqualifications.
After battling hard on tour for years now, Jordan Thompson finally has a well-deserved top 50 ranking. Despite playing a lot of Challenger’s, he still has a solid 19-12 record in 2019. He doesn’t have the power of Kyrgios, but the Wimbledon grass should also help his game.
Prediction: Kyrgios -1.5 Sets $1.80
When he’s fully motivated, Kyrgios is easily a top 10 player on the current men’s tour. He loves playing on the grass at Wimbledon and has had the bulk of his Grand Slam success there. Even with a lack of preparation, his shear talent advantage makes him strong value to get the job done within 4 sets here.