AFL Round 14 Tips & Preview

It’s the last of the mid-year ‘bye rounds’ and while you all may be a little bye-curious as to how your team will fare for the rest of the season following a rest at the midway point, there’s still six games on the Round 14 slate.

With six games waiting and a winner to be found in each, our preview will either guide you on the right path, or muster thoughts like “What on earth is this bloke thinking?”

WEST COAST v ESSENDON
HT/FT - Essendon/West Coast @ $6.75

Ahh, the old Jacket Wave special this one.

The Woosha Cup.

West Coast and Essendon at Optus Stadium on Thursday night should be a fascinating one, but frustrating game to tip.

Hence why you’re reading this preview.

The Dons were able to pinch themselves a 19 point win over the old rival Hawthorn and as per usual find themselves in the hunt for a top eight spot with every chance those embarrassing loses earlier in the year is going to haunt them.

West Coast desperately needed the bye to come after getting thumped by the Swans in Sydney and playing at home after a spell is going to do them a world of good.

It’s best to always practice being safe.

Not just when you’re on the job, but in your footy tipping.

The Eagles are playing at home.

They’ve won five out of six at Optus Stadium at home and one should always tip either the Eagles or Dockers when they are playing at home.

Essendon did thump West Coast at the same ground at about the same time last year but it won’t be a repeat of that.

The Eagles have had a rest and playing at home –tip the Eagles to get the job done.

SYDNEY v HAWTHORN
Sydney Swans to win by 1-39 @ $2.06

Can the Hawks pinch four premiership points in the Buddy Franklin Cup on Friday night?

With old mate Pinchy Stratton likely to miss and the Hawks playing some pretty ordinary football of recent I can’t see it happening somehow.

The Sydney Swans aren’t the premiership threat nor challenging for finals, but they’ve found their mojo again.

Their performance against last year’s reigning premiers West Coast before the bye was excellent and they’ll be up and about wanting to make sure the SCG is once again a fortress, which it hasn’t been of recent times.

I thought Hawthorn were a chance against Essendon last week, but they were awful and I’m not just talking about the brown and gold color scheme either.

Therefore I can’t tip them.

I can see the Swans doing just enough to win this game hence taking them at the 1-39 points.

MELBOURNE v FREMANTLE
Fremantle to win by 1-39 @ $2.55

Playing for the Jeff Farmer Cup with the best on ground awarded the Jeff White Medal – Melbourne v Freo should be an easy game to pick a winner.

Fremantle will win this.

Melbourne is awful.

Forget the fans threatening to boycott the games, Melbourne’s players in a show of solidarity have decided to not turn up and play any matches this season.

Simon Goodwin should be sending a nice thank you note to Carlton for deflecting the attention on just how bad his side has been of recent.

Fremantle, on the other hand, are a serious finals contender and have proven to be one of the better teams to watch this season.

If you think Freo are “flat track bullies” – Think again.

Freo has had some excellent away wins such as GWS in Canberra and Collingwood in their most recent hitout at the G.

Fremantle has also won exactly the same amount of games at the MCG as Melbourne this season – one.

The Dockers last quarters have been outstanding of recent and if they put in a full four quarters, they should be able to get another solid win on the road over a hapless and pathetic Demons outfit.

ST KILDA v BRISBANE LIONS
Brisbane Lions to win by 1-39 @ $2.24

It’s been a long time since Brisbane Lions (proudly sponsored by Neds) supporters were filthy about a loss.

Not the “I’m not mad, I’m just disappointed” way about a loss but deadest filthy.

That was the case when they blew it against Carlton a couple of weeks ago.

This is healthy.

Fortunately, after a week off, they come fresh from the bye back to the scene of the crime – Marvel Stadium to face the Saints.

There was nothing impressive about St.Kilda’s four-point win over the Gold Coast Suns in Townsville last week.

If you watched the last 15 minutes of the game you may have thought it was a thriller but I’m here to tell you that it was absolute shizenhouzen.

The Saints couldn’t kick straight to save their lives and the skill errors would have best been accompanied by the theme from the Benny Hill Show.

If Brisbane is fair dinkum about playing finals this year, they should be able to beat St.Kilda this weekend.

Just kick straight, I’m looking at you Eric Hipwood.

best bet
PORT ADELAIDE v GEELONG
Geelong Cats to win by 40+ @ $4

Here’s one sure bet ahead of this match – you can get $1.01 that Gary Ablett will be booed by the Port Adelaide faithful at Adelaide Oval.

“Don’t boo Gazza” says the media, Port fans do the opposite.

I’m not sure what the stance is from the “Behavioral Awareness Officers” are at Adelaide Oval is.

Here’s another sure bet you can take into this game – Geelong will win it.

It’s not going to be like the 2007 Grand Final, but the Cats will win this one and just remind the competition that they are without a doubt the best team so far this season.

Gazza will also be fine, get about 30+ touches and kick a couple of goals.

A well-rested Cats team will be ready to just keep on keeping on and while it’s tempting to take the “big Port win at home” factor, I ask you – have you watched Geelong play recently?

Even if Port get out to a half-decent lead in the game, Geelong will find a way to win.

When teams are dominating there’s always a theory that they are “due a loss” but that won’t be anytime soon at this rate for the Cats.

 

WESTERN BULLDOGS v COLLINGWOOD
HT/FT Western Bulldogs/Collingwood @ $6.50

Coming off doing everything they possibly could to lose to Carlton last week, the Bulldogs failed and ended up winning by three points.

They now face Collingwood who are fresh off the bye and should be able to get the job done easily.

With this game involving Collingwood playing at Marvel Stadium, much focus will be on how the “behavioural awareness officers” will police the Magpie army and if Joffa will turn up.

Unfortunately, we are not offering a market on these things.

The two sides did meet earlier in the year when the Pies beat the Dogs by 14 points at the MCG, but you would expect based on current form that this should be a bankable four points for Collingwood.

I can see the Bulldogs getting to a good start but then the Pies running away with it in the second half hence why going the half time/full-time option has some good value and worth a crack if you’re that way inclined.