Boston Red Sox
The Sox started their series nicely against Oakland yesterday, winning 9-4 to move to 12-17 on the year. Xander Bogaerts has emerged as the main offensive threat this season, leading the club with 16 RBI. Projected Pitcher Rick Porcello hasn’t had the best year, allowing an ERA of 7.43 through 23 innings.
The A’s admittedly haven’t been in the best recent form either and moved to 14-17 with yesterday’s loss. Khris Davis is still having an elite offensive season, leading the way with 10 homers and 23 RBI. Aaron Brooks is definitely having a down pitching year so far, allowing an ERA over 5.3 through his 27 innings.
Prediction: A’s $2.40
I just can’t trust the Red Sox as such a heavy favourite in this matchup. These two sides are about even right now and I can see Oakland getting revenge for yesterday’s defeat. With a solid pitching day from Brooks, they look great value at this price.
New York Mets
The Mets moved back to .500 with an opening game loss to the Reds. 1st Basemen Pete Alonso has been their offensive linchpin this season, putting up 9 homers and 25 RBI. Probable pitcher Jason Vargas has admittedly had his struggles, allowing an ERA over 7 through 15 innings.
The Reds appear to be in much better form lately, opening their series against the Mets with a win. Things have definitely picked up offensively, with both Yasiel Puig and Eugenio Suarez going for 15 RBI each. Luis Castillo has also been an ace on the mound this season, allowing an ERA of just 1.23 through 36 strong innings.
Prediction: Mets $2.15
This is a classic buy low and sell high spot. While Castillo has done incredibly well so far, I think the market is overrating him and underrating Vargas here. The Mets are the better side and I’ll gladly take them as a home dog.
The Rangers enter this one in incredible form, scoring 29 runs and allowing just 2 in their last 2 combined outings. Joey Gallo and Elvis Andrus have really led the way offensively, combining for 14 homers and 43 RBI so far. Projected Pitcher Adrian Sampson has been subpar so far, allowing an ERA of 4.5 through 23 innings.
Things haven’t been as great for Pittsburgh, who make the trip to Texas with an average at best 12-14 record. A lot of this has been down to their offensive struggles, with 1st Basemen Josh Bell the only man to eclipse 4 homers and 11 RBI. Pitcher Jordan Lyles has looked strong so far, allowing an ERA just over 2 through his 22 innings.
Prediction: Rangers $1.80
Ultimately, I think the Pirates lack of offensive ability hurts them here on the road. The Rangers are in full swing offensively and I can see them still enjoying success against Lyles. They should be priced shorter here and I see great value at $1.80.