The first full round of the new year and there’s plenty of exciting matches scheduled in Week 11 of the A-League.
The Wellington Phoenix have found an impressive run of form and represent value in their match with Adelaide on Saturday, while the Perth Glory look over the odds to consolidate their position at the top of the table, at the expense of a disappointing Brisbane Roar side on Sunday.
Sydney
Last 5 Matches: WLWWW
Ladder Position: 3rd
Goal Difference: +7 (GF 18, GA 11)
Mariners
Last 5 Matches: LLLLL
Ladder Position: 10th
Goal Difference: -16 (GF 8, GA 24)
A pretty big mismatch to begin the round as Sydney FC host the last-placed Mariners. The Sky Blues have been in typically decent touch of late and enter this one off the back of another comfortable win over Brisbane Roar. They represent great value to win to nil.
Adelaide
Last 5 Matches: WLLDW
Ladder Position: 5th
Goal Difference: +1 (GF 14, GA 13)
Phoenix
Last 5 Matches: DWWWD
Ladder Position: 6th
Goal Difference: +1 (GF 14, GA 13)
This looks like being the match of the round and both clubs will be confident of taking vital competition points. Nothing separates these two clubs in overall standings and both really do have live claims. I can’t understand why Adelaide have been priced as such short-priced favourites and the Phoenix are huge overs at their current quote.
Wanderers
Last 5 Matches: LWLDL
Ladder Position: 8th
Goal Difference: -7 (GF 11, GA 18)
Victory
Last 5 Matches: WWWDD
Ladder Position: 2nd
Goal Difference: +11 (GF 22, GA 11)
A great opportunity looms for the Victory to return to winning form and they represent great value at their current odds. The Wanderers have been difficult to trust from a betting perspective this season and they simply look outclassed in this one.
City
Last 5 Matches: WLWDW
Ladder Position: 4th
Goal Difference: +4 (GF 13, GA 9)
Jets
Last 5 Matches: WLWLD
Ladder Position: 7th
Goal Difference: -3 (GF 12, GA 15)
An interesting fixture slated for Sunday afternoon and a case to be made for both City and the Jets. The Jets couldn’t do enough to take all three points away from a lacklustre Brisbane Roar in Newcastle midweek, while City will carry winning form into the match after dispatching the Wanderers. I’m happy to take the home side at their current price.
Roar
Last 5 Matches: LLLLD
Ladder Position: 9th
Goal Difference: -8 (GF 13, GA 21)
Glory
Last 5 Matches: DWWLW
Ladder Position: 1st
Goal Difference: +10 (GF 20, GA 10)
The Roar managed to snap their losing streak by drawing with the Jets midweek, but they face a big step up in class when they host the current competition leaders. The Glory have been flying this season and it would be surprising to see the Roar make much of an impression.