English Premier League Week 11 Preview

We’re nearly a third of the way through the Premier League season and Week 11 boasts several potentially crucial matches for the clubs at both ends of the ladder.

Arsenal will host Liverpool in the match of the round early on Sunday morning, while the strugglers Huddersfield Town and Fulham will each be confident of a rare win when they trade blows on Tuesday.

Bournemouth vs Manchester United
Draw ($3.60)

Bournemouth

Last 5 Matches: LWWDW
Ladder Position: 6th
Goal Difference: +7 (GF 19, GA 12)

Manchester United

Last 5 Matches: DLWDW
Ladder Position: 8th
Goal Difference: 0 (GF 17, GA 17)

An interesting fixture to launch Week 11 of the Premier League and a case to be made for both clubs. Another dominant win for the Cherries saw them consolidate sixth in overall standings, while is was a much-needed win for United when they snuck past Everton at home on Sunday. United aren’t a shade of their former selves and I think that Bournemouth can take something here.

Newcastle United vs Watford
Watford to Win ($2.90)

Newcastle

Last 5 Matches: DLLLD
Ladder Position: 19th
Goal Difference: -8 (GF 6, GA 14)

Watford

Last 5 Matches: DLLWW
Ladder Position: 7th
Goal Difference: +4 (GF 16, GA 12)

Newcastle are still winless after ten weeks of the Premier League season and look to be on the straight and narrow towards relegation. Watford’s impressive season continued with a comfortable win over the lowly Huddersfield at home, and they will be confident of taking all three points from their trip to the north of England; I think that they can and will. How they have been priced as such noticeable outsiders completely evades me.

West Ham vs Burnley
Over 3 Goals ($3)

West Ham

Last 5 Matches: DWLLD
Ladder Position: 13th
Goal Difference: -6 (GF 9, GA 15)

Burnley

Last 5 Matches: WWDLL
Ladder Position: 15th
Goal Difference: -11 (GF 10, GA 21)

Two inconsistent clubs will square off when Burnley travels to West Ham and it looks a tough match to analyse from a betting perspective. Both clubs found competitive patches last month but have returned to old, disappointing habits recently and it’s tough to know what you’re going to get. Both have been reasonably in front of goal and they value could lie with a high-scoring draw.

Everton vs Brighton
Draw ($3.85)

Everton

Last 5 Matches: LWWWL
Ladder Position: 9th
Goal Difference: +12 (GF 16, GA 14)

Brighton

Last 5 Matches: LLWWW
Ladder Position: 11th
Goal Difference: -2 (GF 11, GA 13)

Everton are a little unlucky to have lost last weekend but will be confident of atoning at home. Brighton have found a purple patch and recorded a third-consecutive win over Wolves last weekend. That result in particular is sure to have breathed plenty of confidence into the locker room and they are certainly good enough to compete at Goodison Park.

Cardiff City vs Leicester City
Leicester to Win ($2.20)

Cardiff

Last 5 Matches: LLLWL
Ladder Position: 17th
Goal Difference: -14 (GF 9, GA 23)

Leicester City

Last 5 Matches: WWLLD
Ladder Position: 12th
Goal Difference: 0 (GF 16, GA 16)

Cardiff suffered another disappointing loss in Week 10 and they will have their hands full with a Leicester City outfit that has restored plenty of pride in their jersey this year. It’s been a tough week for the Foxes off the pitch and I think that they will record another nice win here.

Arsenal vs Liverpool
Liverpool to Win ($2.20)

Arsenal

Last 5 Matches: WWWWD
Ladder Position: 4th
Goal Difference: +11 (GF 24, GA 13)

Liverpool

Last 5 Matches: WDDWW
Ladder Position: 2nd
Goal Difference: +16 (GF 20, GA 4)

Easily the match of the round and there’s plenty to like about Arsenal vs Liverpool from both a spectator’s and betting perspective. The Gunners recorded several impressive victories in succession through September and October, but they were held to a draw by Crystal Palace last weekend and showed that they are still vulnerable. Things don’t get any easier this week and they’ll have their hands full with the competition leaders.

Wolves vs Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs to Win ($2.15)

Wolves

Last 5 Matches: DWWLL
Ladder Position: 10th
Goal Difference: 0 (GF 9, GA 9)

Tottenham

Last 5 Matches: WWWWL
Ladder Position: 5th
Goal Difference: +8 (GF 16, GA 8)

Both clubs suffered Week 10 defeats, and both will be eager to return to the winner’s stall. Wolves were particularly flat when losing to Brighton and they face an even bigger task in overcoming Spurs. Tottenham really are a class above and anything beyond even money here looks a great bet.

Manchester City vs Southampton
Over 4 Goals ($2.25)

Manchester City

Last 5 Matches: WWDWW
Ladder Position: 1st
Goal Difference: +24 (GF 27, GA 3)

Southampton

Last 5 Matches: LLLDD
Ladder Position: 16th
Goal Difference: -8 (GF 6, GA 14)

The reigning champions will be fighting out the finish again this season and they will simply be too good for the lowly Saints this weekend. Southampton have failed to get anything of a leg up this time around and this will be their biggest test to date.

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace
Chelsea to Win to Nil ($2.10)

Chelsea

Last 5 Matches: DDWDW
Ladder Position: 3rd
Goal Difference: +17 (GF 24, GA 7)

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Matches: DLLLD
Ladder Position: 14th
Goal Difference: -6 (GF 7, GA 13)

A bit of a mismatch will see Chelsea host Crystal Palace in the week’s sole London Derby. Up until last week, this would have been the easiest tip of the round, but Palace produced arguably their best performance of the season to draw with Arsenal and a repeat of that performance would see them right in the contest again. Chelsea should still be winning comfortably.

Huddersfield Town vs Fulham
Huddersfield to Win ($2.30)

Huddersfield

Last 5 Matches: LLDLL
Ladder Position: 20th
Goal Difference: -17 (GF4, GA 21)

Fulham

Last 5 Matches: DLLLL
Ladder Position: 18th
Goal Difference: -17 (GF11, GA 28)

Two of the league’s battlers are offered an ideal opportunity at points when the last-placed Terriers host the eighteenth-placed Cottagers. It certainly won’t be one for the ages, but we’re set for a pretty competitive fixture and there’s plenty of value to be found in betting. Huddersfield simply have to win this and I’m happy to take the $2.30 quote.