Doomben will play host to Brisbane’s headline card on Saturday and we are set for a great afternoon of metropolitan racing.
The rail will be out +0.5m the entire course at Doomben on Saturday and inclement weather has led to the track being rated a ‘Soft 6’
Ten two-year-olds will step put in the first at Doomben and four will be having their first day at the races.
Of the horses with exposed form, Desert Digby ($5) and Red Doulton ($13) are the only previous winners, but both are noticeably stepping up in class here and will need to take plenty of improvement.
The Rob Heathcote-trained Pinch Memory is a debutant and at the time of publish, is tied on the top line of betting with Spirit Of Cherokee at a $3.90 quote. Pinch Memory has trialled well at Deagon and appears to have some talent.
Two-year-old races filled with debutants are simply too tough to analyse and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective here.
Expertea ($2.70) has been racing in terrific form this time and will be tough to beat again in the second. The daughter of Al Maker was strong to the line to win at Doomben last start and has a strong affiliation with the course as a whole. She shouldn’t have too much of an issue finding a position on pace from barrier 10 and she is weighted ideally for the trip. It would not surprise to see her lead the pack into the straight and run away from them.
The Chris Waller-trained Exoteric ($6.50) has been charged with carry a race-high 59.5kgs, but has form in stronger races than this and can go close again. The Champs Elysees gelding made up plenty of ground to score a smart win first-up and will look to emulate that run behind the pace, with natural improvement.
The field for the third is probably the most open of the day and it is tough to analyse from a betting perspective.
Ben Currie’s stable is flying and he is offered another good opportunity for a Saturday win in this race with Maybe Even You ($2.20). The Jet Spur mare has steadily built to the task this time and flew home to win a similar race to this at Doomben on Australia Day, at $21. She should enjoy a nice run from barrier 3 and can make it two on the trot here.
Rhyming ($7) failed to make up the required ground when fifth at the Sunshine Coast last weekend, but faces a similar race here and can finish close from barrier 6.
I will have a small bet on Maybe Even You to win, but not with a great deal of confidence.
There’s winning potential drawn across the field in Race 4 and this should be a terrific watch.
Rancho Montoya ($5.50) showed above-average ability throughout his debut preparation and would not look out of place in the winner’s circle first-up. The son of High Chaparral will only improve with racing and stepping out in trip, but he did win over 1200m in impressive fashion on debut.
Johnny Whitesox ($3.90) has received the most attention in our market at the time of publish and is subsequently the clear market mover. The Show A Heart gelding demolished an Ipswich field by four lengths first-up and he’ll be tough to beat again, with natural improvement. Brad Stewart will be able to dictate terms from the rails draw.
Bimini Road ($9) has been racing well and has each-way claims again on Saturday.
Race 5 looms as an interesting one and there is several winning chances amongst the ten-horse field.
Boomwaa ($4.80) has found a smart run of form since transferring to the care of Ben Currie and he is sure to inject plenty of early tempo into this contest. The Mutawaajid gelding ran second in an 1110m race here on December 30th, before easily accounting for a Wednesday field at Doomben at his most-recent appearance. He has a 2.5kg weight drop here and will be tough to get past late.
Stella Ombra ($6) has been a standout performer for Kelly Schweida throughout the last 12 months and represents terrific value in this race. The Dane Shadow gelding produced four impressive wins through seven starts in winter, including a tough win on heavy going at Randwick in June. Having finished fourth at his two-most recent starts, including the Listed Falvelon Quality (1050m), the horse will relish a return to his pet trip here and should find himself right in the finish.
We’re looking at another big field for the sixth, but there appears to be a few genuine winning chances among the pack.
Tversky ($2.25) has strung together a couple of easy wins in lesser races than this since resuming in December and can make a successful transition to Saturday grade here. The Written Tycoon gelding is extremely versatile and will be able to find a prominent position from barrier 7.
A horse that is worth consideration at big odds is Now You See ($26), whose biggest issue is clearly that she has drawn the carpark. Now You See tends to come to hand quickly and she was outstanding through her first preparation for Ben Currie in spring; posting four wins from only six starts.
I am happy to back Tversky to win and take a small each-way saver on Now You See at her current monster quote.
A number of consistent Saturday horses will step out in Race 7 and this another extremely open contest. Two horses that warrant interest are Deep Image ($3.70) and Brigadoon Rise ($10), however both face a tough run in transit after drawing wide into this big field.
Deep Image resumed for fourth in a 1200m race at Doomben on December 16th, before finishing fourth again amongst smart company on January 10th. He will be rock-hard fit for this, but may need to expel a little too much petrol early to find the pace from gate 14.
Brigadoon Rise has been a strong and consistent performer since transferring to Tony Gollan’s stable and with even luck in running, she can go close to the winner’s stall again. The Stratum mare has placed second amongst similar company to this at her two most-recent starts and a change of tactics here might prove beneficial. Regardless of her draw, she’s worth a small each-way bet at current odds.
A few black type-quality horses will go around in the penultimate and it really does appear to be Torgersen’s ($2.40) race to lose. The Pins gelding has been racing in terrific form since arriving in Queensland and he simply got too far back in the Listed Sunshine Coast Cup (1400m) to figure last weekend. He’ll be able to find a much more prominent position from the rails draw on Saturday and has a better turn of foot than anything else in this field.
Slydini ($7) has been racing well amongst lesser company this time and is worthy of his position in this field. The Magic Albert gelding has finished second at his four most-recent appearances and will take a position on-pace from barrier 4.
The final race at Doomben on Saturday is another open affair from a betting standpoint.
Plucky Girl ($4.80) has returned to racing in typically consistent form this time and there’s no reason why she cannot give this race a shake. The daughter of Pluck took up the running on the Gold Coast last time and was too strong for her rivals late; finishing a length in the clear of Desmon’s Pride.
Bettabet Red is stepping up in class here, but she has form around some good horses this time and can surprise at double-figure odds. The Casino Prince mare beat home the likes of Brigadoon Rise over course and distance on January 3rd, before finishing third at the Sunshine Coast on the 12th. She is rock-hard fit and can sneak into the places here.